SEISMIC LEARNING
Gutenberg–Richter · fits live, adapts each refresh
b-value—
completeness Mc—
expected M≥5 / day—
fitting from the live catalog…
Rate forecast · self-scoring vs naive baseline
predicted next 15 min—
resolved windows0
skill vs naive—
error (MAE)—
warming up — needs a few 15-min windows to score.
Aftershock watch · Omori
no significant mainshock (M≥5) in the last 6h.